Archive for the ‘odds’ Category

lol what a joke

January 30, 2009 | 1:08 am | Derk

NumSNGs : 239 (NumDataPoints=1979)
> 2-way=1822, 3-way=154, multiway=3
[...]

Should you ever fold aces?

November 26, 2008 | 11:36 pm | Derk

A recent post in the PITR forums had a guy asking about folding QQ on the bubble of a traditional SNG (sit-and-go) with a very short stack, and where the big stack had raised in front of him and he would almost certainly make the money. This reminded me of a thread I’ve seen pop [...]

Probability and outs

November 19, 2008 | 9:52 pm | Derk

Today JCarver posed a question in IRC that he was asked by someone but wasn’t sure how to answer. It was “If you have 15 outs on the flop, you’re about 30% to hit on the turn, but only 54% to hit by the river, why?” (these numbers are slightly off, but for the [...]